Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
GRI
0 - 3
SWI
24%
26%
51%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 0
MAN
38%
28%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 1
CHE
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 3
SWI
47%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 0
SWI
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEY
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
OLD
0 - 1
BUR
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
FLE
5 - 2
OLD
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
GAT
1 - 2
OLD
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |