Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWI
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BCF
1 - 0
SWI
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 2
OXF
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BRO
1 - 0
SWI
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 1
POS
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
OLD
1 - 0
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
OLD
3 - 2
COV
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
MKD
1 - 0
OLD
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 1
OLD
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
OLD
1 - 2
BRA
30%
30%
41%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |