Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 0
SWI
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
SWI
1 - 1
CHE
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
HUR
4 - 0
SWI
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SWI
2 - 1
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
HUL
0 - 0
SWI
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
OLD
2 - 0
YEO
39%
24%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
OLD
2 - 1
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 0
OLD
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 2
GUL
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 2
OLD
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |