Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
SWI
1 - 1
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
SWI
2 - 0
WOL
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
NOR
2 - 0
SWI
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
SWI
0 - 0
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
BRA
1 - 1
SWI
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CRY
3 - 1
OLD
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
OLD
0 - 1
GRI
58%
21%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
OLD
1 - 2
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
OLD
1 - 0
LUT
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
OLD
2 - 0
STO
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |