Swindon Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 0
SWI
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
0 - 4
WAL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
4 - 2
SWI
63%
19%
18%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWI
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 0
WYC
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 1
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 2
FLE
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
STF
3 - 3
NOT
29%
23%
49%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 0
NOT
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 0
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |