Swindon Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
YEO
0 - 2
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
SWI
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
2 - 2
WAL
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
COV
1 - 2
SWI
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
SWI
0 - 1
BCF
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
SCU
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 1
PNE
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 0
NOT
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 1
LEY
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
CUM
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |