Swindon Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
SWI
1 - 1
BRI
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 1
SWI
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
SWI
0 - 3
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWI
34%
28%
37%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
SWI
3 - 1
QPR
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 0
NOT
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 2
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
NOT
1 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 1
LUT
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |