Swindon Town vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
SWI
19%
26%
56%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 0
BRO
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
SWI
35%
25%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
GUL
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
OXF
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 1
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
PLY
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
NOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
NOR
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |