Swindon Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
SWI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
EXE
2 - 1
SWI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 0
SWI
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
0 - 4
WAL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 4
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CHE
50%
23%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
DON
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |