Swindon Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CRE
0 - 3
SWI
42%
23%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 3
SWI
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 3
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 2
SWI
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 2
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
STE
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
CUM
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 2
NEW
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |