Swindon Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 1
MKD
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
SWI
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 2
SWI
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
TRA
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
OLD
0 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 3
OXF
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
GRI
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
NOT
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |