Swindon Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 2
SWI
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 1
NOR
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 1
SWI
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
COL
3 - 0
SWI
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
3 - 2
CUM
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
BUR
4 - 0
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 3
EXE
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |