Swindon Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
BCF
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 1
SWI
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
SWI
3 - 1
CUM
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 2
HER
43%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SWI
0 - 1
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 1
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAM
1 - 3
MOR
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 1
KID
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 0
EBB
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ALD
0 - 1
MOR
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |