Swindon Town vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWI
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
SOU
5 - 1
SWI
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
SWI
0 - 5
LIV
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
SWI
0 - 1
OLD
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
SHE
3 - 1
SWI
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1993 |
MAC
1 - 1
COV
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
MAC
0 - 2
BBU
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
TOT
1 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1993 |
EVE
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
MAC
1 - 1
LEE
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |