Swindon Town vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SWI
1 - 2
BHA
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
MIL
1 - 0
SWI
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
SWI
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 1
CHA
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MIL
3 - 2
SWI
49%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
YEO
2 - 1
LEY
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
LEY
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LEY
2 - 0
WYC
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
LEY
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LEY
2 - 0
STO
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |