Swindon Town vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 0
CHE
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
SWI
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
YEO
0 - 0
SWI
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 2
TRA
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
NTT
7 - 1
SWI
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 1
OLD
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 0
HAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
SCU
2 - 0
HAR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
HAR
3 - 1
HUR
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |