Swindon Town vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
QPR
1 - 0
SWI
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 2
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
WYC
0 - 3
SWI
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
0 - 3
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 1
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 3
PLY
45%
25%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 2
HAR
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
HAR
4 - 0
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
WRE
1 - 2
HAR
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
BOU
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |