Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town analysis

Swindon Town Grimsby Town
59 ELO 50
0.5% Tilt 9.9%
3114º General ELO ranking 2874º
98º Country ELO ranking 92º
ELO win probability
58.2%
Swindon Town
22.6%
Draw
19.2%
Grimsby Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
Swindon Town
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
Grimsby Town
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Swindon Town
-15%
-2%
Grimsby Town

ELO progression

Swindon Town
Grimsby Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2020
NOR
Northampton
0 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
43%
26%
31%
57 59 2 0
08 Feb. 2020
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
33%
25%
42%
58 52 6 -1
01 Feb. 2020
SWI
Swindon Town
2 - 1
Exeter City
EXE
37%
27%
36%
57 61 4 +1
28 Jan. 2020
COL
Colchester United
3 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
41%
26%
32%
58 59 1 -1
25 Jan. 2020
SWI
Swindon Town
3 - 0
Port Vale
POR
54%
25%
21%
57 54 3 +1

Matches

Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2020
GRI
Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Morecambe
MOR
45%
27%
28%
50 48 2 0
11 Feb. 2020
COL
Colchester United
2 - 3
Grimsby Town
GRI
64%
22%
14%
49 61 12 +1
08 Feb. 2020
BRA
Bradford City
1 - 1
Grimsby Town
GRI
51%
25%
24%
49 52 3 0
01 Feb. 2020
GRI
Grimsby Town
2 - 2
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
30%
28%
42%
49 53 4 0
28 Jan. 2020
GRI
Grimsby Town
3 - 1
Stevenage
STE
39%
29%
32%
48 49 1 +1