Swindon Town vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
SWA
2 - 1
SWI
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 2
SWI
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SWI
4 - 1
BOU
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 1
SWI
59%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SWI
0 - 1
YEO
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
GIL
3 - 1
LEY
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GIL
1 - 1
LEE
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
NTT
4 - 0
GIL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GIL
1 - 0
BHA
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SOU
3 - 0
GIL
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |