Swindon Town vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 1
SWI
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
DON
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 0
WAL
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
SOU
2 - 0
SWI
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SWI
4 - 2
BOU
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
GIL
1 - 1
TRA
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 1
GIL
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
SWA
1 - 2
GIL
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
GIL
1 - 1
ROT
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
OLD
2 - 0
GIL
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |