Swindon Town vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 1
SWI
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 4
CHE
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 4
SWI
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 2
OPA
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
OLD
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
GRI
1 - 4
FOR
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
WRE
2 - 3
FOR
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
LEE
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |