Swindon Town vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SWI
1 - 0
BRO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LEE
2 - 1
SWI
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
WYC
1 - 2
SWI
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
SWI
1 - 1
LEY
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
SWI
1 - 2
DON
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DRO
5 - 3
FOR
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
ROT
0 - 3
FOR
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FOR
3 - 1
HIS
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FOR
2 - 2
ROT
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EBB
0 - 2
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |