EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
Swindon Town vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
REA
2 - 0
SWI
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
SWI
0 - 0
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
SHE
2 - 2
SWI
68%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
SWI
1 - 2
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
STO
3 - 0
SWI
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
DAR
1 - 1
EXE
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
EXE
1 - 2
CAR
40%
28%
33%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
EXE
1 - 2
STF
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
SWA
3 - 0
EXE
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
EXE
3 - 0
LIN
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |