Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWI
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
SWI
2 - 1
LUT
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
SWI
0 - 2
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWI
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SWI
1 - 1
WAL
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CRE
0 - 2
LEY
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 1
CRE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
CRE
0 - 3
HUL
50%
22%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 1
BHA
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
NTT
0 - 0
CRE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |