Swindon Town vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SCU
3 - 1
SWI
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
OLD
2 - 1
SWI
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SWI
2 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SHE
2 - 0
SWI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CRA
5 - 1
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 5
DON
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
YEO
2 - 1
CRA
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 1
PNE
22%
28%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 0
CRA
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |