FA Cup 1/64
Global 3-4
Swindon Town vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 1
SHW
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 1
SWI
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 0
SWI
38%
26%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ROC
3 - 3
SWI
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 1
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 1
SWI
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CRA
7 - 0
ALT
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 1
CRA
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 5
CRA
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 4
CRA
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |