Swindon Town vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 1
GRI
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MKD
2 - 3
SWI
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SWI
2 - 0
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 1
CRA
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 2
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
CUM
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
COL
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
COL
3 - 0
CHE
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 4
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 1
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |