Swindon Town vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STF
0 - 1
SWI
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 1
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
4 - 0
BOU
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 2
SWI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CUM
2 - 2
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
HAR
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
CRA
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
DON
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |