Swindon Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 1
SWI
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 1
BCF
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
SWI
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
OLD
2 - 0
SWI
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 1
FLE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
DON
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 3
SHE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
CHE
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
OLD
1 - 0
CHE
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |