Swindon Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
SWI
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
YEO
0 - 0
SWI
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 2
TRA
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
NTT
7 - 1
SWI
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 3
ROT
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 2
SCU
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TRA
4 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 3
YEO
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ROT
0 - 4
CHE
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 4
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |