Swindon Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 1
SWI
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
WIG
2 - 0
SWI
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
SWI
2 - 1
BRE
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
SWI
1 - 3
CRE
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
PLY
1 - 1
SWI
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 1
LUT
29%
25%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 2
CHE
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 1
CHE
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CHE
0 - 1
OLD
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
BRE
2 - 1
CHE
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |