Swindon Town vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 0
SWI
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
SWI
0 - 1
HAR
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SWI
4 - 2
SCU
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 1
SWI
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LEI
1 - 1
SWI
65%
23%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 1
NOR
31%
27%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 3
MIL
28%
26%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 0
CHE
75%
16%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
STO
1 - 0
CHE
72%
17%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 3
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |