Swindon Town vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWI
34%
28%
37%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
SWI
3 - 1
QPR
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
SWI
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
SWI
0 - 3
WYC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
TRA
0 - 1
SWI
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 1
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
BRI
3 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 3
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
HUR
3 - 3
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |