League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Swindon Town vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
MIL
3 - 2
SWI
49%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SWI
3 - 2
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WYC
2 - 2
SWI
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SWI
1 - 1
WAL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
SWI
1 - 1
EXE
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
OLD
0 - 2
CHA
28%
28%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
LEE
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
EXE
1 - 1
CHA
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 1
NOR
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |