Swindon Town vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
STA
72%
19%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 1
STF
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
SWI
14%
24%
62%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 0
CRA
44%
27%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 4
SWI
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
ROT
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 2
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
OXF
43%
26%
30%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
BUR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |