Swindon Town vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
4 - 0
BOU
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 2
SWI
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CUM
2 - 2
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 1
LEY
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 0
SWI
26%
25%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
BUR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
5 - 2
POS
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 3
BHA
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
PLY
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |