Swindon Town vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 1
SWI
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
SWI
0 - 3
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWI
34%
28%
37%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
SWI
3 - 1
QPR
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
SWI
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 0
POS
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
QPR
1 - 0
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
BRI
2 - 0
OLD
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
BRI
3 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 2
BRI
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |