League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Swindon Town vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SCU
3 - 1
SWI
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SWI
3 - 0
STE
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
SWI
4 - 1
CRE
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SHE
2 - 0
SWI
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 0
SWI
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 1
DON
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 1
BRE
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
SHE
2 - 2
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 2
OPA
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
CRE
0 - 2
BRE
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |