Swindon Town vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
DAR
1 - 2
SWI
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 0
ROC
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 1
SWI
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SWI
0 - 0
HUR
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 2
HUR
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BHA
2 - 2
BRE
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 1
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 0
BPO
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 2
SWA
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |