Swindon Town vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
COV
1 - 2
SWI
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 0
BRE
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 0
SWI
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 1
SHE
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 2
SWI
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
POS
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ROT
0 - 0
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 3
OLD
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
COV
0 - 0
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LEY
0 - 1
BRA
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |