Swindon Town vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
SWI
2 - 3
TRA
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1999 |
WAT
0 - 1
SWI
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
SWI
3 - 3
OPA
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
OXF
2 - 0
SWI
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 0
SWI
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1999 |
HUR
3 - 2
BOL
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
BOL
1 - 3
CRE
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
BIR
0 - 0
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 1
WBA
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
GRI
0 - 1
BOL
25%
26%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |