Swindon Town vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BBU
0 - 0
SWI
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
SWI
0 - 1
GRI
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
WBA
1 - 1
SWI
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2000 |
SWI
2 - 4
CRY
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
IPS
3 - 0
SWI
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
BIR
1 - 0
BBU
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BIR
2 - 1
BOL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
CRE
2 - 3
BIR
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
BIR
2 - 1
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
POR
3 - 1
BIR
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |