Swindon Town vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
WRE
3 - 2
SWI
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 0
GRI
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
PLY
2 - 1
SWI
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 1
BRE
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 0
TRA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
SHW
2 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
LUT
30%
25%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 1
POS
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |