FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-3
Swindon Town vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
BRI
3 - 1
SWI
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 0
WOL
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 3
SWI
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 4
BRA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 1
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 0
QPR
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
STO
0 - 1
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 3
SWI
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
IPS
0 - 2
BAR
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
WAT
0 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |