Swindon Town vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 0
SWI
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 3
SWI
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 0
SOU
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 2
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 3
SOU
17%
21%
63%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
OXF
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
PLY
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
3 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
STA
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |