Swindon Town vs Arsenal Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
STE
1 - 1
SWI
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 0
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 1
SWI
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SWI
0 - 0
TRA
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 2
CUM
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
3 - 0
ARS
45%
22%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
GIL
1 - 1
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 2
ARS
46%
22%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
IPS
1 - 2
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARS
37%
24%
40%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |