Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town analysis

Swindon Supermarine Tiverton Town
42 ELO 32
0.7% Tilt 7.9%
7066º General ELO ranking 7861º
315º Country ELO ranking 364º
ELO win probability
66.6%
Swindon Supermarine
19.4%
Draw
14%
Tiverton Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
Swindon Supermarine
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.1%
Win probability
Tiverton Town
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Swindon Supermarine
-22%
-8%
Tiverton Town

Points and table prediction

Swindon Supermarine
Their league position
Tiverton Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
11º
56
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Weston-super-Mare
92
92
100%
Bracknell Town FC
90
90
100%
Truro City
89
89
100%
Chesham United
80
80
100%
Poole Town
78
78
100%
Swindon Supermarine
75
75
100%
Hayes & Yeading United
69
69
100%
Metropolitan Police
62
62
100%
Merthyr Town
61
61
100%
Beaconsfield
10º
58
58
10º
100%
Plymouth Parkway
11º
58
58
11º
100%
Tiverton Town
12º
56
56
12º
100%
Dorchester Town
13º
52
52
13º
100%
Salisbury City
14º
51
51
14º
100%
Hanwell Town
15º
48
48
15º
100%
Winchester City
16º
46
46
16º
100%
Gosport Borough
17º
45
45
17º
100%
Hendon
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Harrow Borough
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Yate Town
20º
35
35
20º
100%
North Leigh
21º
34
34
21º
100%
Hartley Wintney
22º
33
33
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Swindon Supermarine
Tiverton Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Swindon Supermarine
Tiverton Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Supermarine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2023
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
3 - 1
Gosport Borough
GOS
78%
14%
8%
42 26 16 0
11 Mar. 2023
PLY
Plymouth Parkway
2 - 1
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
28%
24%
48%
42 35 7 0
04 Mar. 2023
WIN
Winchester City
1 - 6
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
25%
22%
54%
41 32 9 +1
28 Feb. 2023
HEN
Hendon
2 - 2
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
17%
20%
63%
41 27 14 0
25 Feb. 2023
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
3 - 2
Truro City
WHI
42%
25%
34%
41 40 1 0

Matches

Tiverton Town
Tiverton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
HEN
Hendon
2 - 2
Tiverton Town
TIV
45%
23%
33%
32 33 1 0
07 Mar. 2023
HAR
Harrow Borough
2 - 2
Tiverton Town
TIV
38%
23%
40%
30 27 3 +2
04 Mar. 2023
TIV
Tiverton Town
1 - 2
Beaconsfield
BEA
34%
24%
43%
32 37 5 -2
28 Feb. 2023
NOR
North Leigh
4 - 2
Tiverton Town
TIV
27%
22%
51%
34 26 8 -2
25 Feb. 2023
SAL
Salisbury City
0 - 1
Tiverton Town
TIV
32%
22%
46%
33 28 5 +1