Swindon Supermarine vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
WES
1 - 0
SWI
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 2
SWI
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
SWI
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
TAU
2 - 0
SWI
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 0
MER
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
HAR
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
KIN
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MET
3 - 2
HAR
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
CHE
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 0
DOR
55%
22%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |