Swindon Supermarine vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 1
WEY
16%
20%
65%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 4
KIN
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 1
CHI
23%
23%
55%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 2
SWI
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
3 - 1
SWI
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TIV
1 - 1
FAR
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 1
CHE
69%
17%
15%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POO
6 - 0
FAR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FAR
3 - 2
FRO
81%
11%
8%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
LEW
1 - 1
FAR
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |