Swindon Supermarine vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 0
YAT
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWI
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 5
SWI
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAN
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 2
WIN
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 1
DAR
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DAR
4 - 1
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
DAR
5 - 1
WEL
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DAR
3 - 0
WEY
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 2
DAR
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |